Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.378759 0.437320 0.498776 0.567795 0.642866 0.721778 0.810728
2024-12-29 0.305753 0.388001 0.479426 0.587456 0.710505 0.845252 1.002913
2025-01-05 0.240663 0.335759 0.447546 0.585971 0.750171 0.936296 1.160787
2025-01-12 0.192198 0.294742 0.421985 0.586485 0.788720 1.024793 1.316756
2025-01-19 0.159797 0.268190 0.409591 0.599485 0.840151 1.127976 1.491200
2025-01-26 0.136066 0.249012 0.403383 0.617860 0.896927 1.237564 1.674657
2025-02-02 0.116613 0.232485 0.398111 0.635566 0.951913 1.345039 1.856785
2025-02-09 0.094712 0.208417 0.379292 0.632686 0.978694 1.416635 1.995020
2025-02-16 0.080247 0.193513 0.371562 0.643403 1.022376 1.509341 2.160062
2025-02-23 0.065199 0.174686 0.355636 0.640673 1.046737 1.576656 2.293230
2025-03-02 0.048853 0.149790 0.327208 0.617152 1.040563 1.602799 2.373113
2025-03-09 0.041167 0.140041 0.321940 0.627073 1.080364 1.689422 2.531263
2025-03-16 0.031259 0.123226 0.303239 0.615686 1.090088 1.737011 2.640996
2025-03-23 0.027585 0.119823 0.307576 0.640293 1.152076 1.856057 2.846019
2025-03-30 0.021748 0.109210 0.297531 0.640997 1.178726 1.927059 2.988294
2025-04-06 0.017061 0.099928 0.288753 0.642881 1.206658 1.999825 3.133443
2025-04-13 0.014211 0.094998 0.287819 0.657493 1.253694 2.099489 3.315495
2025-04-20 0.012173 0.091911 0.290168 0.677500 1.309043 2.211220 3.514664
2025-04-27 0.010350 0.088810 0.292076 0.696602 1.363171 2.321737 3.713131
2025-05-04 0.007626 0.080579 0.281902 0.693709 1.382798 2.383314 3.845358
2025-05-11 0.006075 0.076326 0.279967 0.705198 1.424884 2.477179 4.022373
2025-05-18 0.004284 0.069258 0.270552 0.702355 1.443889 2.537826 4.154033
2025-05-25 0.002359 0.058363 0.250054 0.677381 1.426287 2.544709 4.210937